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David Leonhardt @DLeonhardt The New York Times, in D.C.

Now: editor, The Upshot, for NYT. Then: DC bureau chief, Here's the Deal e-book, Pulitzer for commentary, math major. Still: Jim Rice, ma la, Art Blakey

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Internal SF Giant polls have them up 4-3.There are more experts on CNN right now talking about Ebola in America than people with ebola in America. http://t.co/lRNMDzZMjr
Retweeted by David Leonhardt@Andelmar Thanks so much.Tonight's World Series game will likely feature almost 30 minutes more ads than a regular-season game (per @joe_sheehan). Brutal.@DLeonhardt @suellentrop seeing as how 1980-1986 was the high-water mark of baseball culture, all away uniforms should be baby blue v-necks
Retweeted by David LeonhardtOfficially, a pitch is a strike so long as *any* part of the ball passes over the plate at the "hollow of the knee," http://t.co/i5zWBHOCXsFrom a sartorial perspective, this would be a better game if the Royals were in baby-blues. http://t.co/rwzR8e14BaThe low-strike epidemic, in action: http://t.co/2rueT6Ucav
10/25
2014
Reminds me of reading "The Polar Express" to my kids RT @EarthPix: Switzerland http://t.co/4zGzGA0XdC
Retweeted by David Leonhardt@datfan666 Democratic victory unlikely at this point. Possible but unlikely.MT @bruce_katz In a Funk? Visit a City. The bright spots in a time of "national malaise," http://t.co/svl6OH3e0XBillionaires, voter ID and Ben Bradlee: I had a grand time subbing for @jdickerson on @SlateGabfest: http://t.co/VnEJfU58MP@kairyssdal Because Jeter! Isn't that the answer to all questions?Bettors are more confident of Republican chances than poll-based models are. @JustinWolfers: http://t.co/aSAlFyu4Ep http://t.co/fzOnLLVyIoWe have a plan to rescue Rex Ryan's coaching career. Really. @KevinQ: http://t.co/SuV1p5Yc0r http://t.co/tAcxIs3yUu"I love watching Elizabeth give it to those who deserve to get it," Hillary Clinton says (Clinton is among those Warren has criticized)
Retweeted by David Leonhardt@LukeRussert @Nate_Cohn Helps point to quality of campaigns, I suspect.What was Mitt Romney's 2d narrowest win over Obama? Georgia. Which helps explain Nunn. @Nate_Cohn: http://t.co/yWuJF42XA9Still the last World Series in Washington. Alas. @BeschlossDC: http://t.co/HBIsJqs5X6 http://t.co/D7bBGf4ZgaHere's a picture of the low strike that made Bryce Harper so angry... (from http://t.co/36jYRD2loE) http://t.co/it99XFLnH2@Buster_ESPN Thanks for the link, Buster.What if all the talk of a Chinese Century is hogwash? @Neil_Irwin: http://t.co/1zrKFtkbQX
10/24
2014
@BrianMozey Thanks.@CarlosLozadaWP It depends on what your definition of "blatant holding" is.@monkeycageblog @Nate_Cohn What does this panel have against "I"? It's a perfectly nice pronoun.October '06 was when Obama said he was rethinking his statement he wouldn't run for president http://t.co/fJjUXJT0Zu
Retweeted by David LeonhardtHow companies are using the rise of e-commerce to restrict basic consumer rights. @jeremybmerrill: http://t.co/jeojgx0u7m@RubenBolling @kleinmatic Do we think human umpires can make that judgment?@matthewburton Happily.If Nunn gets to within 20k votes of 50 but misses, these missing RVs are going to loom extremely large http://t.co/p4SfjFFS8i
Retweeted by David Leonhardt@matthewburton Sq in (see chart readout)How much has the Major League strike zone grown in the last 5 years? A lot. http://t.co/AVv95wjbVH http://t.co/gOJsD6nq2U@tnyfrontrow Thanks a lot.@DLeonhardt why do we still have humans calling balls and strikes?
Retweeted by David LeonhardtAs baseball datahounds are well aware, the strike-zone research has been done by @MLBPlayerAnalys and @BMMillsy.The strike-zone revolution that many fans haven't noticed: the zone has grown, which is a big reason scoring is down. http://t.co/AVv95wjbVHIf Dems lose the Senate, retirements will have played a huge role in their loss. My @POLITICOMag piece: http://t.co/BiRdkqfTsX
Retweeted by David Leonhardt@kleinmatic Fair point.@kleinmatic I don't think he gets within 5 feet of the ball.There aren't many states where demographic change helps Republicans, but Arkansas is one of them. @Nate_Cohn: http://t.co/GKzc0eCLp4
10/23
2014
Tax revenue just keeps falling in Kansas. @jbarro: http://t.co/PJQj5CaYeF@daveweigel Also Kansas to toss-up and Iowa. http://t.co/lsHyc6RCFwMore on education, income and demographic groups: http://t.co/tToBxJtFDH http://t.co/KSOSU5CVRfEducation pays. MT @MatthewPhillips: Whoa! Indian-Americans are really getting paid. Huge American success story... http://t.co/BkvX5Sk7A8Arkansas is one of the few states where demographics are hurting the Democrats http://t.co/xmumRLovD2 http://t.co/yyKw16EMCA
Retweeted by David LeonhardtOne path to Republican Senate control: Ark., La., Ga., Ks., Alaska. All red states. @jshkatz: http://t.co/r4FyCGTnD9 http://t.co/EqZPpn3M6S@NYGJared @jshkatz Then they'd need 3 of the others.How Dems can keep the Senate: NH, NC, Kansas - plus 2 of Iowa, Ga., Colo., Ark, Ak. @jshkatz: http://t.co/TX1t1BcQGQ http://t.co/EOQplwZvRo
10/22
2014
Why aren't GOP reformers succeeding re: Hispanics? One reason: House majority doesn't depend on *any* Hispanic votes. http://t.co/hnUTrNnX3PIf Republicans didn't win a single Hispanic vote in 2014, they would still win the House. An @UpshotNYT analysis: http://t.co/hnUTrNnX3P
10/21
2014
Congrats to @CrowleyTIME on his new gig at Politico -- and to @sbg1 on landing him.Are Democrats doing a better job of turning out voters in 2014? Some reason for skepticism, @Nate_Cohn: http://t.co/1MqpGQY8o5@Bettermarkets Age-adjusted epop strikes me as more interesting than straight participation rate. cc @JustinWolfersIt's not just N.Y., D.C. & S.F. Young college grads are also flocking to Houston, Nashville & Baltimore. @clairecm: http://t.co/BuOid7bjj8@JeffreyGoldberg UE rate mostly flat in Benghazi, though small sample size offers reason to take local-area rates with a grain of salt.The unemployment rate has fallen more since 2012 than in any midterm cycle since World War II. http://t.co/fb8dnL1xcn http://t.co/Tqapv7L41WHow people in 7 Muslim-majority countries say women should dress http://t.co/ZiAaBAMgJQ http://t.co/BiLL6n1kr1
Retweeted by David Leonhardt@ebbitt Don't expect great returns in coming years.@DLeonhardt @jmartNYT In order of coolness of names: Unitas, Tittle, Slingin' Sammy, Layne, Marino, Favre, Manning.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt@3rdMoment Yes, I agree. Of course, that's what people always argue when it's high. 1920s, 1960s, 1990s, 2006-7...@OneTopQuark Fair point, although the historical r'ship between rates and stock performance is weak.@tedfrank Yes, which is a reason not to expect a big drop. At same time, historical r'ship between rates and performance is weak.When market opens Monday, the S&P 500 long-term P/E will be higher than it ever was in 1940s, 50s, 60s, 70s or 80s. http://t.co/RPO9TK01in@overlayered Being an R will help him.The QBs who've held the TD record since World War II: Manning Favre Marino Tarkenton Unitas Tittle Layne Baugh http://t.co/1b2gdzHWRrPeyton Manning is the 10th quarterback since 1930 to hold the touchdown record. http://t.co/KOXrIu016G http://t.co/qOfRT7QuXg@redletterdave Thanks. Credit to its creators: @driven_by_data and @KevinQPeyton Manning is going to hold the touchdown record for a long time. http://t.co/1b2gdzHWRr http://t.co/H44LD57qDT@derprevere Thanks a lot.
10/20
2014
@toddkeithley @derprevere @Nate_Cohn An example of using 140 characters poorly, on my part. Better: most intriguing uncertainty.The history of passing touchdowns, in one sweet graphic: http://t.co/B7F1P2taCZ Find your favorite QB...@butifulabsurdt Thanks so much.2014 looks like the most intriguing election in a decade, says @Nate_Cohn: http://t.co/6iISQ4jLb2
10/19
2014
@KennethBaer @RonaldKlain The rare positive Vietnam analogy.@MarkMazzettiNYT I can understand that. I mean, who really would believe that the Great Mo would blow two saves in less than 24 hours?@kairyssdal Happy anniversary!To think of the Yankee broadcasters' smugness at this moment... RT @RedSox: 10 years ago today. #TheSteal 10/17/04 http://t.co/ACfyEKe3EB@felixsalmon I basically agree, though I'm not sure about "no."@stephengandel @felixsalmon Not just extremes. Avg return, eg, 20-25: 1.6%. 15 to 20: 27.7%. Correl is -.4 for all data, -.25 for 10<PE<25."A packed rally ... had the feel of Gillespie momentum." Kind of like Mittmentum and Walker-recall momentum. http://t.co/dVIHMqpUEr@ronlieber @crampell Should it be "Is sex for only rich people"?The great Joe Louis goes to Vegas, and @BeschlossDC takes us there: http://t.co/rNJ91JEO8q http://t.co/rPMT3xi0vo@chadmhorner ... overweighting very recent past.@chadmhorner But people often say "The last decade was misleading." Was true in 1920s, 1960s, 1990s etc. Still seems better than...Janet Yellen just gave a speech that Ben Bernanke would not have given. @Neil_Irwin: http://t.co/uNkSMaQvo8Answering @felixsalmon's good question about stock valuations and returns: http://t.co/BractUsj36 http://t.co/y0uccyKWh7How repeated cries of distress in the WSJ helped the GOP close the 2014 fundraising gap: http://t.co/EMoWLsEmDc
Retweeted by David LeonhardtThe secret to understanding the stock market? Profit-taking, of course. @jbarro explains: http://t.co/WvqMdwvRu9
10/17
2014
If the Royals lose the World Series, expect some silly talk about how the long rest hurt them. Remember this: http://t.co/UCIQ1JcJaZ
10/16
2014
@tlaskawy Thanks. And I can see that. As a reader, though, I prefer a number. I always wonder what number lean implies, eg.@ThePlumLineGS Thanks a lot.One reason for the market volatility: Share prices are just plain expensive relative to earnings - http://t.co/90JedofwXc @DLeonhardt
Retweeted by David Leonhardt@hsquared47 @BrendanNyhan Rs26 years ago today: "In a year that has been so improbable...the impossible has happened!" https://t.co/nfsT82DRle
Retweeted by David Leonhardt@lesliebialler thanks.@DrSvalbard thanks.@williamfleitch good point. That's why we used 3d down in the article. Same odds.@anachtomi Thanks a lot.(And, yes, that last tweet was the love child of @nytleo and @NYT4thDownBot.)The Republicans' odds of winning the Senate are akin to the odds of making a 1st down on 4th and 1. http://t.co/G4UFX00jm8
10/15
2014
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